Anybody out there good at neck-rubs?
So, if Obama loses, the election is OBVIOUSLY rigged.
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
BUT, I don't think he's gonna lose... :-)
Posted by
Am Kshe Oref - A Stiff-Necked People
at
11/04/2008 01:45:00 PM
Left Wing Modern Orthodox: 78%
Right Wing Modern Orthodox: 89%
Left Wing Yeshivish/Chareidi: 37%
Right Wing Yeshivish/Chareidi: 4%
This means you're: Modern Orthodox
What does it mean?
Congratulations. You're Modern Orthodox all right, but wait! Just when you were ready to live an idyllic happily-labeled life they announce Left Wing and Right Wing Modern Orthodoxy. What the heck is up with that? Maybe you need to rethink and refine some of your positions, and then take the test again so I can put you in a little box.
See? I'm not such a Kofer after all!!! :)
6 comments:
So, if I roll two ten sided dice and throw a double 0, that means that I've OBVIOUSLY rigged the dice?
The Wolf
Or to put it this way, things a lot rarer than 1 in 100 happen all the time - without "rigging."
The Wolf
One more follow up... I will concede that, if McCain wins, there is the *possibility* of rigging. (Of course, the same holds true for Obama, although that's a lot less likely.)
The Wolf
Wolf,
Keep in mind what Nate's predictions are meant to signify. The election isn't a matter of chance. What he's calculating is the probability that the polls are accurate. The polls have consistently shown Obama with a roughly 5-10 lead nationally, and a strong lead in many battleground states. Polls have occasionally proved misleading in close races like in 2000 and 2004, not in races where the candidates are apart by 5+ percentage points. If McCain wins, it will be the biggest upset since 1948, when polling science was in its infancy. There's no plausible explanation for why that would suddenly happen this year after having never happened in all the races from 1952 to 2004; hence, the suspicion of vote tampering.
Kylopod,
I understand your point. I wasn't disputing the point that there are grounds to strongly consider tampering. It was his foregone conclusion that it MUST be tampering that I was objecting too.
The Wolf
I never used the word "must." I said obviously.
But, hey. I don't think it's gonna happen. God willing...
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